Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Derrick Lewis won · KO/TKO R3
UFC Event·Saturday, October 6, 2018·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Alexander Volkov wins(51.6%)
Actual result: Derrick Lewis wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Alexander Volkov is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Derrick Lewis has lost 73% of fights by KO.
- Alexander Volkov has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Alexander Volkov has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Derrick Lewis
Red Corner
VS
Alexander Volkov
Blue Corner
+135
(43%)
Vegas Odds
-155
(61%)
41
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
6'7"
200.66 cm
Reach
203.2 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Derrick Lewis
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Marcos Rogerio de Lima · Jul 23L
vs Jailton Almeida · Nov 23W
KOvs Rodrigo Nascimento · May 24W
KOvs Tallison Teixeira · Jul 25L
KOvs Waldo Cortes Acosta · Jan 26Alexander Volkov
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Alexandr Romanov · Mar 23W
SUBvs Tai Tuivasa · Sep 23W
vs Sergei Pavlovich · Jun 24L
vs Ciryl Gane · Dec 24W
vs Jailton Almeida · Oct 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Derrick LewisMetricAlexander Volkov
2.46
Strikes / min
4.84
2.57
Strikes absorbed / min
2.90
39%
Strike defense
54%
0.55
TDs / 15 min
0.54
52%
Takedown defense
68%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.11Δ 2.05 — meaningful gap+1.94
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Derrick LewisAlexander Volkov
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Derrick Lewis(10 fights)Alexander Volkov(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+36.6-36.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-112.0112.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-2.32.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
Derrick Lewis
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights31
Alexander Volkov
StanceOrthodox
Height79.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights17