Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Derrick Lewis won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, November 2, 2019·New York City, New York, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Derrick Lewis wins(67.9%)
Actual result: Derrick Lewis wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Blagoy Ivanov has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Blagoy Ivanov (53.5%).
- Derrick Lewis has a 15cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Derrick Lewis
Red Corner
VS
Blagoy Ivanov
Blue Corner
-115
(53%)
Vegas Odds
-105
(51%)
41
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'3"
Height
5'11"
200.66 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Derrick Lewis
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Marcos Rogerio de Lima · Jul 23L
vs Jailton Almeida · Nov 23W
KOvs Rodrigo Nascimento · May 24W
KOvs Tallison Teixeira · Jul 25L
KOvs Waldo Cortes Acosta · Jan 26Blagoy IvanovL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Tai Tuivasa · Jun 19L
vs Augusto Sakai · May 20W
vs Marcos Rogerio de Lima · May 22L
vs Marcin Tybura · Feb 23L
vs Alexandr Romanov · Jul 23Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Derrick LewisMetricBlagoy Ivanov
2.46
Strikes / min
3.25
2.57
Strikes absorbed / min
4.20
39%
Strike defense
53%
0.55
TDs / 15 min
0.69
52%
Takedown defense
61%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.11evenly matched on net striking-0.95
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Derrick LewisBlagoy Ivanov
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Derrick Lewis(10 fights)Blagoy Ivanov(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+60.4-60.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+91.0-91.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.70.7
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.90.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Derrick Lewis
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights31
Blagoy Ivanov
StanceSouthpaw
Height71.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights8