Heavyweight
5 Rounds
Derrick Lewis won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, December 18, 2021·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Chris Daukaus wins(50.4%)
Actual result: Derrick Lewis wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Chris Daukaus enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Derrick Lewis is a KO finisher (75% of wins). Chris Daukaus has lost 100% of fights by KO.
- Chris Daukaus is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Derrick Lewis has lost 73% of fights by KO.
- Chris Daukaus has 16pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Chris Daukaus has 48pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Derrick Lewis
Red Corner
VS
Chris Daukaus
Blue Corner
+120
(45%)
Vegas Odds
-140
(58%)
41
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
6'3"
200.66 cm
Reach
193.04 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Derrick Lewis
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Marcos Rogerio de Lima · Jul 23L
vs Jailton Almeida · Nov 23W
KOvs Rodrigo Nascimento · May 24W
KOvs Tallison Teixeira · Jul 25L
KOvs Waldo Cortes Acosta · Jan 26Chris DaukausL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Aleksei Oleinik · Feb 21W
KOvs Shamil Abdurakhimov · Sep 21L
KOvs Curtis Blaydes · Mar 22L
KOvs Jairzinho Rozenstruik · Dec 22L
KOvs Khalil Rountree Jr. · Aug 23Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Derrick LewisMetricChris Daukaus
2.46
Strikes / min
6.05
2.57
Strikes absorbed / min
4.64
39%
Strike defense
55%
0.55
TDs / 15 min
0.00
52%
Takedown defense
100%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.11Δ 1.52 — meaningful gap+1.41
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Derrick LewisChris Daukaus
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Derrick Lewis(10 fights)Chris Daukaus(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+56.1-56.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+49.0-49.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.80.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Derrick Lewis
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights31
Chris Daukaus
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights8