Heavyweight
5 Rounds
🏆 Title Bout
Ciryl Gane won · KO/TKO R3
UFC Event·Saturday, August 7, 2021·Houston, Texas, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Derrick Lewis wins(57.9%)
Actual result: Ciryl Gane wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Ciryl Gane has 21pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Tale of the Tape
Derrick Lewis
Red Corner
VS
Ciryl Gane
Blue Corner
+250
(29%)
Vegas Odds
-320
(76%)
41
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
6'4"
200.66 cm
Reach
205.74 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Derrick Lewis
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Marcos Rogerio de Lima · Jul 23L
vs Jailton Almeida · Nov 23W
KOvs Rodrigo Nascimento · May 24W
KOvs Tallison Teixeira · Jul 25L
KOvs Waldo Cortes Acosta · Jan 26Ciryl Gane
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Tai Tuivasa · Sep 22L
SUBvs Jon Jones · Mar 23W
KOvs Serghei Spivac · Sep 23W
vs Alexander Volkov · Dec 24L
vs Tom Aspinall · Oct 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Derrick LewisMetricCiryl Gane
2.46
Strikes / min
5.29
2.57
Strikes absorbed / min
2.33
39%
Strike defense
60%
0.55
TDs / 15 min
0.68
52%
Takedown defense
47%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.11Δ 3.07 — meaningful gap+2.96
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Derrick LewisCiryl Gane
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Derrick Lewis(10 fights)Ciryl Gane(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+45.4-45.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+126.0-126.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.8-0.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Derrick Lewis
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights31
Ciryl Gane
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach81.0"
Fights13