Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Derrick Lewis won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, February 6, 2016·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Derrick Lewis wins(70.7%)
Actual result: Derrick Lewis wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Derrick Lewis is a KO finisher (75% of wins). Damian Grabowski has lost 67% of fights by KO.
- Damian Grabowski has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Derrick Lewis has 52pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Derrick Lewis has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Derrick Lewis
Red Corner
VS
Damian Grabowski
Blue Corner
-105
(51%)
Vegas Odds
-115
(53%)
41
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
6'1"
200.66 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Derrick Lewis
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Marcos Rogerio de Lima · Jul 23L
vs Jailton Almeida · Nov 23W
KOvs Rodrigo Nascimento · May 24W
KOvs Tallison Teixeira · Jul 25L
KOvs Waldo Cortes Acosta · Jan 26Damian GrabowskiL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Anthony Hamilton · Jul 16L
vs Chase Sherman · Jul 17Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Derrick LewisMetricDamian Grabowski
2.46
Strikes / min
4.00
2.57
Strikes absorbed / min
7.65
39%
Strike defense
51%
0.55
TDs / 15 min
0.00
52%
Takedown defense
0%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.11Δ 3.54 — meaningful gap-3.65
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Derrick LewisDamian Grabowski
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Derrick Lewis(10 fights)Damian Grabowski(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+24.8-24.8
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-48.948.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.849.8
Derrick Lewis
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights31
Damian Grabowski
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights3