Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Derrick Lewis won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Sunday, April 10, 2016·Zagreb, Croatia, Croatia
Model Prediction: Derrick Lewis wins(67.0%)
Actual result: Derrick Lewis wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Derrick Lewis is a KO finisher (75% of wins). Gabriel Gonzaga has lost 57% of fights by KO.
- Gabriel Gonzaga has 18pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Tale of the Tape
Derrick Lewis
Red Corner
VS
Gabriel Gonzaga
Blue Corner
-150
(60%)
Vegas Odds
+130
(43%)
41
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
6'2"
200.66 cm
Reach
193.04 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Derrick Lewis
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Marcos Rogerio de Lima · Jul 23L
vs Jailton Almeida · Nov 23W
KOvs Rodrigo Nascimento · May 24W
KOvs Tallison Teixeira · Jul 25L
KOvs Waldo Cortes Acosta · Jan 26Gabriel Gonzaga
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Shawn Jordan · Oct 13L
vs Stipe Miocic · Jan 14L
KOvs Matt Mitrione · Dec 14L
vs Mirko Cro Cop · Apr 15W
vs Konstantin Erokhin · Dec 15Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Derrick LewisMetricGabriel Gonzaga
2.46
Strikes / min
2.12
2.57
Strikes absorbed / min
2.94
39%
Strike defense
57%
0.55
TDs / 15 min
2.80
52%
Takedown defense
66%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
1.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.11evenly matched on net striking-0.82
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Derrick LewisGabriel Gonzaga
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Derrick Lewis(10 fights)Gabriel Gonzaga(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+44.0-44.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-57.057.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Derrick Lewis
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights31
Gabriel Gonzaga
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights12