Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Derrick Lewis won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, February 8, 2020·Houston, Texas, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Derrick Lewis wins(69.4%)
Actual result: Derrick Lewis wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Ilir Latifi has 17pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Ilir Latifi has 48pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Derrick Lewis has a 15cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Derrick Lewis
Red Corner
VS
Ilir Latifi
Blue Corner
-225
(69%)
Vegas Odds
+185
(35%)
41
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
5'10"
200.66 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Derrick Lewis
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Marcos Rogerio de Lima · Jul 23L
vs Jailton Almeida · Nov 23W
KOvs Rodrigo Nascimento · May 24W
KOvs Tallison Teixeira · Jul 25L
KOvs Waldo Cortes Acosta · Jan 26Ilir Latifi
oldest →latest
L
vs Corey Anderson · Dec 18L
KOvs Volkan Oezdemir · Aug 19W
vs Tanner Boser · Jun 21W
vs Aleksei Oleinik · Oct 22L
vs Rodrigo Nascimento · May 23Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Derrick LewisMetricIlir Latifi
2.46
Strikes / min
2.05
2.57
Strikes absorbed / min
2.93
39%
Strike defense
56%
0.55
TDs / 15 min
2.11
52%
Takedown defense
100%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.11evenly matched on net striking-0.88
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Derrick LewisIlir Latifi
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Derrick Lewis(10 fights)Ilir Latifi(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+58.9-58.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-84.084.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.9-0.9
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.7-0.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Derrick Lewis
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights31
Ilir Latifi
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights16