Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Derrick Lewis won · KO/TKO R3
UFC Event·Sunday, February 18, 2018·Austin, Texas, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Derrick Lewis wins(58.0%)
Actual result: Derrick Lewis wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Derrick Lewis is a KO finisher (75% of wins). Marcin Tybura has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Marcin Tybura has 16pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Marcin Tybura has 18pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Derrick Lewis
Red Corner
VS
Marcin Tybura
Blue Corner
-110
(52%)
Vegas Odds
-110
(52%)
41
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
6'3"
200.66 cm
Reach
198.12 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Derrick Lewis
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Marcos Rogerio de Lima · Jul 23L
vs Jailton Almeida · Nov 23W
KOvs Rodrigo Nascimento · May 24W
KOvs Tallison Teixeira · Jul 25L
KOvs Waldo Cortes Acosta · Jan 26Marcin TyburaL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Serghei Spivac · Aug 24W
KOvs Jhonata Diniz · Nov 24W
vs Mick Parkin · Mar 25L
KOvs Ante Delija · Sep 25L
vs Tyrell Fortune · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Derrick LewisMetricMarcin Tybura
2.46
Strikes / min
3.56
2.57
Strikes absorbed / min
3.26
39%
Strike defense
55%
0.55
TDs / 15 min
1.30
52%
Takedown defense
70%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.11evenly matched on net striking+0.30
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Derrick LewisMarcin Tybura
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Derrick Lewis(10 fights)Marcin Tybura(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+53.2-53.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+161.0-161.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.80.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
Derrick Lewis
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights31
Marcin Tybura
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights24