Heavyweight
5 Rounds
Derrick Lewis won · KO/TKO R3
UFC Event·Saturday, May 11, 2024·St. Louis, Missouri, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Derrick Lewis wins(51.8%)
Actual result: Derrick Lewis wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Derrick Lewis is a KO finisher (75% of wins). Rodrigo Nascimento has lost 67% of fights by KO.
Tale of the Tape
Derrick Lewis
Red Corner
VS
Rodrigo Nascimento
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
41
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
6'2"
200.66 cm
Reach
203.2 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Derrick Lewis
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Serghei Spivac · Feb 23W
KOvs Marcos Rogerio de Lima · Jul 23L
vs Jailton Almeida · Nov 23W
KOvs Tallison Teixeira · Jul 25L
KOvs Waldo Cortes Acosta · Jan 26Rodrigo Nascimento
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Alan Baudot · Jul 21W
vs Tanner Boser · Sep 22W
vs Ilir Latifi · May 23W
vs Don'Tale Mayes · Nov 23L
vs Alexandr Romanov · Nov 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Derrick LewisMetricRodrigo Nascimento
2.46
Strikes / min
3.71
2.57
Strikes absorbed / min
4.34
39%
Strike defense
44%
0.55
TDs / 15 min
1.02
52%
Takedown defense
60%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.11evenly matched on net striking-0.63
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Derrick LewisRodrigo Nascimento
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Derrick Lewis(10 fights)Rodrigo Nascimento(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+18.3-18.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.41.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
Derrick Lewis
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights31
Rodrigo Nascimento
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights8