Heavyweight
5 Rounds
Derrick Lewis won · KO/TKO R4
UFC Event·Friday, December 9, 2016·Albany, New York, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Derrick Lewis wins(60.4%)
Actual result: Derrick Lewis wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Shamil Abdurakhimov enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Derrick Lewis is a KO finisher (75% of wins). Shamil Abdurakhimov has lost 83% of fights by KO.
- Shamil Abdurakhimov has 16pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Tale of the Tape
Derrick Lewis
Red Corner
VS
Shamil Abdurakhimov
Blue Corner
-250
(71%)
Vegas Odds
+210
(32%)
41
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
6'3"
200.66 cm
Reach
193.04 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Derrick Lewis
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Marcos Rogerio de Lima · Jul 23L
vs Jailton Almeida · Nov 23W
KOvs Rodrigo Nascimento · May 24W
KOvs Tallison Teixeira · Jul 25L
KOvs Waldo Cortes Acosta · Jan 26Shamil AbdurakhimovL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Marcin Tybura · Apr 19L
KOvs Curtis Blaydes · Sep 19L
KOvs Chris Daukaus · Sep 21L
KOvs Sergei Pavlovich · Mar 22L
KOvs Jailton Almeida · Jan 23Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Derrick LewisMetricShamil Abdurakhimov
2.46
Strikes / min
2.41
2.57
Strikes absorbed / min
3.02
39%
Strike defense
55%
0.55
TDs / 15 min
1.01
52%
Takedown defense
45%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.11evenly matched on net striking-0.61
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Derrick LewisShamil Abdurakhimov
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Derrick Lewis(10 fights)Shamil Abdurakhimov(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+47.4-47.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+86.0-86.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Derrick Lewis
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights31
Shamil Abdurakhimov
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights11