Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Tai Tuivasa won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, February 12, 2022·Houston, Texas, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Derrick Lewis wins(69.2%)
Actual result: Tai Tuivasa wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Tai Tuivasa enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Tai Tuivasa is a KO finisher (88% of wins). Derrick Lewis has lost 73% of fights by KO.
- Stance matchup historically favors Tai Tuivasa (53.5%).
- Derrick Lewis has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Derrick Lewis
Red Corner
VS
Tai Tuivasa
Blue Corner
-165
(62%)
Vegas Odds
+145
(41%)
41
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'3"
Height
6'2"
200.66 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Derrick Lewis
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Marcos Rogerio de Lima · Jul 23L
vs Jailton Almeida · Nov 23W
KOvs Rodrigo Nascimento · May 24W
KOvs Tallison Teixeira · Jul 25L
KOvs Waldo Cortes Acosta · Jan 26Tai TuivasaL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Sergei Pavlovich · Dec 22L
SUBvs Alexander Volkov · Sep 23L
SUBvs Marcin Tybura · Mar 24L
vs Jairzinho Rozenstruik · Aug 24L
vs Tallison Teixeira · Jan 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Derrick LewisMetricTai Tuivasa
2.46
Strikes / min
3.37
2.57
Strikes absorbed / min
4.61
39%
Strike defense
42%
0.55
TDs / 15 min
0.00
52%
Takedown defense
58%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.11Δ 1.13 — meaningful gap-1.24
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Derrick LewisTai Tuivasa
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Derrick Lewis(10 fights)Tai Tuivasa(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+71.0-71.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-7.07.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Derrick Lewis
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights31
Tai Tuivasa
StanceSouthpaw
Height74.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights17