Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Derrick Lewis won · KO/TKO R3
UFC Event·Saturday, October 3, 2015·Houston, Texas, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Derrick Lewis wins(57.9%)
Actual result: Derrick Lewis wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Derrick Lewis is a KO finisher (75% of wins). Viktor Pesta has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Viktor Pesta has 17pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Viktor Pesta has 48pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Derrick Lewis
Red Corner
VS
Viktor Pesta
Blue Corner
+150
(40%)
Vegas Odds
-170
(63%)
41
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
6'3"
200.66 cm
Reach
195.58 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Derrick Lewis
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Marcos Rogerio de Lima · Jul 23L
vs Jailton Almeida · Nov 23W
KOvs Rodrigo Nascimento · May 24W
KOvs Tallison Teixeira · Jul 25L
KOvs Waldo Cortes Acosta · Jan 26Viktor PestaL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Ruslan Magomedov · May 14W
vs Konstantin Erokhin · Jan 15L
KOvs Marcin Tybura · Aug 16L
SUBvs Aleksei Oleinik · Jan 17Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Derrick LewisMetricViktor Pesta
2.46
Strikes / min
1.58
2.57
Strikes absorbed / min
2.54
39%
Strike defense
56%
0.55
TDs / 15 min
3.29
52%
Takedown defense
100%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.11evenly matched on net striking-0.96
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Derrick LewisViktor Pesta
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Derrick Lewis(10 fights)Viktor Pesta(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+11.3-11.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-133.0133.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Derrick Lewis
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights31
Viktor Pesta
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights5