Lightweight
3 Rounds
Desmond Green won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Friday, June 1, 2018·Utica, New York, USA, USA
Style matchupDesmond Green: Elusive strikervsGleison Tibau: Wrestler
The wrestler must close distance through high-output striking. The elusive striker thrives in space.
Model Prediction: Desmond Green wins(62.2%)
Actual result: Desmond Green wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Gleison Tibau enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Gleison Tibau has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Desmond Green
Red Corner
VS
Gleison Tibau
Blue Corner
-1200
(92%)
Vegas Odds
+600
(14%)
36
Age
42
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
5'10"
Height
5'10"
185.42 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Desmond GreenW2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Rustam Khabilov · Sep 17L
vs Michel Prazeres · Feb 18L
vs Mairbek Taisumov · Sep 18W
KOvs Ross Pearson · Mar 19W
vs Charles Jourdain · May 19Gleison TibauL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Piotr Hallmann · Sep 14W
vs Norman Parke · Jan 15L
SUBvs Tony Ferguson · Feb 15L
vs Abel Trujillo · Nov 15L
KOvs Islam Makhachev · Jan 18Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Desmond GreenMetricGleison Tibau
3.70
Strikes / min
1.95
2.51
Strikes absorbed / min
2.51
69%
Strike defense
63%
1.62
TDs / 15 min
4.08
75%
Takedown defense
92%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.19Δ 1.75 — meaningful gap-0.56
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Desmond GreenGleison Tibau
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Desmond Green(7 fights)Gleison Tibau(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-42.042.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-14.014.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
Desmond Green
StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights7
Gleison Tibau
StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights18