Lightweight
3 Rounds
Devonte Smith won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, February 9, 2019·Melbourne, Victoria, Australia, Australia
Model Prediction: Devonte Smith wins(54.8%)
Actual result: Devonte Smith wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Devonte Smith enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Devonte Smith is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Dong Hyun Ma has lost 60% of fights by KO.
- Devonte Smith has 52pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Devonte Smith has a 15cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Devonte Smith
Red Corner
VS
Dong Hyun Ma
Blue Corner
-270
(73%)
Vegas Odds
+230
(30%)
32
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'11"
193.04 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Devonte SmithL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Julian Erosa · Nov 18L
KOvs Khama Worthy · Aug 19L
KOvs Jamie Mullarkey · Oct 21L
vs Ludovit Klein · Mar 22Dong Hyun MaL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Brendan O'Reilly · Dec 16W
KOvs Takanori Gomi · Sep 17W
vs Damien Brown · Feb 18L
KOvs Scott Holtzman · Aug 19L
vs Omar Antonio Morales Ferrer · Dec 19Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Devonte SmithMetricDong Hyun Ma
4.55
Strikes / min
2.84
3.91
Strikes absorbed / min
4.10
49%
Strike defense
54%
0.35
TDs / 15 min
1.27
85%
Takedown defense
33%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.64Δ 1.90 — meaningful gap-1.26
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Devonte SmithDong Hyun Ma
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Devonte Smith(5 fights)Dong Hyun Ma(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+1.1-1.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-273.0273.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.91.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Devonte Smith
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights5
Dong Hyun Ma
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights8