Lightweight
3 Rounds
Jamie Mullarkey won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, October 2, 2021·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupDevonte Smith: Pressure fightervsJamie Mullarkey: Wrestler
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Devonte Smith wins(58.3%)
Actual result: Jamie Mullarkey wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Devonte Smith is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Jamie Mullarkey has lost 57% of fights by KO.
- Devonte Smith has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Devonte Smith
Red Corner
VS
Jamie Mullarkey
Blue Corner
-155
(61%)
Vegas Odds
+135
(43%)
32
Age
31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
6'0"
193.04 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Devonte SmithL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Julian Erosa · Nov 18W
KOvs Dong Hyun Ma · Feb 19L
KOvs Khama Worthy · Aug 19L
vs Ludovit Klein · Mar 22Jamie Mullarkey
oldest →latest
W
vs John Makdessi · Sep 23L
KOvs Nasrat Haqparast · Dec 23L
KOvs Mauricio Ruffy · May 24W
vs Rolando Bedoya · Sep 25L
SUBvs Quillan Salkilld · Jan 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Devonte SmithMetricJamie Mullarkey
4.55
Strikes / min
4.10
3.91
Strikes absorbed / min
4.28
49%
Strike defense
54%
0.35
TDs / 15 min
2.46
85%
Takedown defense
70%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.64evenly matched on net striking-0.18
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Devonte SmithJamie Mullarkey
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Devonte Smith(5 fights)Jamie Mullarkey(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+32.0-32.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+588.0-588.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
Devonte Smith
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights5
Jamie Mullarkey
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights13