Women's Flyweight
3 Rounds
Dione Barbosa won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, April 5, 2025·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupDiana Belbita: Pressure fightervsDione Barbosa: Wrestler
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Diana Belbita wins(58.0%)
Actual result: Dione Barbosa wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Dione Barbosa threatens submissions; Diana Belbita has lost 50% of fights by sub.
- Dione Barbosa has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Tale of the Tape
Diana Belbita
Red Corner
VS
Dione Barbosa
Blue Corner
+730
(12%)
Vegas Odds
-1150
(92%)
29
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'6"
172.72 cm
Reach
167.64 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Diana BelbitaL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Hannah Goldy · Jul 21L
vs Gloria de Paula · Feb 22W
vs Maria Oliveira · Jun 23L
vs Karolina Kowalkiewicz · Oct 23L
SUBvs Molly McCann · Feb 24Dione BarbosaL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Ernesta Kareckaite · May 24L
vs Miranda Maverick · Jul 24L
vs Karine Silva · Aug 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Diana BelbitaMetricDione Barbosa
6.45
Strikes / min
2.21
6.55
Strikes absorbed / min
2.40
51%
Strike defense
64%
0.86
TDs / 15 min
2.40
64%
Takedown defense
63%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
1.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.10evenly matched on net striking-0.19
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Diana BelbitaDione Barbosa
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Diana Belbita(8 fights)Dione Barbosa(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-44.144.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+168.0-168.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
Diana Belbita
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights8
Dione Barbosa
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights5