Featherweight
3 Rounds
Diego Brandao won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, August 17, 2013·Boston, Massachusetts, USA, USA
Style matchupDiego Brandao: WrestlervsDaniel Pineda: Submission grappler
Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.
Model Prediction: Diego Brandao wins(62.2%)
Actual result: Diego Brandao wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Daniel Pineda enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Diego Brandao has 17pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Diego Brandao has 26pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Daniel Pineda has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Diego Brandao
Red Corner
VS
Daniel Pineda
Blue Corner
-178
(64%)
Vegas Odds
+167
(37%)
38
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'7"
162.56 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Diego Brandao
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Dustin Poirier · Dec 13L
KOvs Conor McGregor · Jul 14W
KOvs Jimy Hettes · Apr 15W
KOvs Katsunori Kikuno · Sep 15L
SUBvs Brian Ortega · Jan 16Daniel PinedaL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Cub Swanson · Dec 20W
SUBvs Tucker Lutz · Mar 23L
vs Alex Caceres · Jun 23L
vs Nathaniel Wood · Jul 24L
vs Darren Elkins · Oct 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Diego BrandaoMetricDaniel Pineda
2.94
Strikes / min
2.85
3.38
Strikes absorbed / min
3.26
62%
Strike defense
45%
3.21
TDs / 15 min
1.42
80%
Takedown defense
54%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
1.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.44evenly matched on net striking-0.41
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Diego BrandaoDaniel Pineda
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Diego Brandao(10 fights)Daniel Pineda(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+19.1-19.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+7.0-7.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
Diego Brandao
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach64.0"
Fights10
Daniel Pineda
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights13