Featherweight
3 Rounds
Darren Elkins won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, May 26, 2012·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupDiego Brandao: WrestlervsDarren Elkins: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Diego Brandao wins(77.0%)
Actual result: Darren Elkins wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Diego Brandao has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Diego Brandao has 24pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Darren Elkins has a 18cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Diego Brandao
Red Corner
VS
Darren Elkins
Blue Corner
-260
(72%)
Vegas Odds
+240
(29%)
38
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'10"
162.56 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Diego Brandao
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Dustin Poirier · Dec 13L
KOvs Conor McGregor · Jul 14W
KOvs Jimy Hettes · Apr 15W
KOvs Katsunori Kikuno · Sep 15L
SUBvs Brian Ortega · Jan 16Darren Elkins
oldest →latest
W
vs Tristan Connelly · Apr 22L
vs Jonathan Pearce · Dec 22W
SUBvs TJ Brown · Oct 23W
vs Daniel Pineda · Oct 24L
KOvs Julian Erosa · Apr 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Diego BrandaoMetricDarren Elkins
2.94
Strikes / min
3.40
3.38
Strikes absorbed / min
3.34
62%
Strike defense
51%
3.21
TDs / 15 min
2.87
80%
Takedown defense
56%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
1.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.44evenly matched on net striking+0.06
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Diego BrandaoDarren Elkins
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Diego Brandao(10 fights)Darren Elkins(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-14.414.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-56.056.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Diego Brandao
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach64.0"
Fights10
Darren Elkins
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights30