Featherweight
3 Rounds
Diego Brandao won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, October 13, 2012·Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, Brazil
Model Prediction: Diego Brandao wins(81.3%)
Actual result: Diego Brandao wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Diego Brandao has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Diego Brandao has 38pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Joey Gambino has a 15cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Diego Brandao
Red Corner
VS
Joey Gambino
Blue Corner
-250
(71%)
Vegas Odds
+230
(30%)
38
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'7"
162.56 cm
Reach
178 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Diego Brandao
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Dustin Poirier · Dec 13L
KOvs Conor McGregor · Jul 14W
KOvs Jimy Hettes · Apr 15W
KOvs Katsunori Kikuno · Sep 15L
SUBvs Brian Ortega · Jan 16Joey Gambino
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Steven Siler · Jun 12Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Diego BrandaoMetricJoey Gambino
2.94
Strikes / min
2.47
3.38
Strikes absorbed / min
2.53
62%
Strike defense
51%
3.21
TDs / 15 min
0.00
80%
Takedown defense
42%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.44evenly matched on net striking-0.06
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Diego BrandaoJoey Gambino
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Diego Brandao(10 fights)Joey Gambino(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+15.2-15.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+27.0-27.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.8-0.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.8-0.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
Diego Brandao
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach64.0"
Fights10
Joey Gambino
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach—
Fights2