Featherweight
3 Rounds
Diego Brandao won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, April 6, 2013·Stockholm, Sweden, Sweden
Style matchupDiego Brandao: WrestlervsPablo Garza: Submission grappler
Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.
Model Prediction: Diego Brandao wins(74.8%)
Actual result: Diego Brandao wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Diego Brandao has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Diego Brandao has 65pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Pablo Garza has a 23cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Diego Brandao
Red Corner
VS
Pablo Garza
Blue Corner
-220
(69%)
Vegas Odds
+200
(33%)
38
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
6'1"
162.56 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Diego Brandao
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Dustin Poirier · Dec 13L
KOvs Conor McGregor · Jul 14W
KOvs Jimy Hettes · Apr 15W
KOvs Katsunori Kikuno · Sep 15L
SUBvs Brian Ortega · Jan 16Pablo Garza
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Fredson Paixao · Dec 10W
SUBvs Yves Jabouin · Apr 11L
SUBvs Dustin Poirier · Nov 11L
vs Dennis Bermudez · May 12W
vs Mark Hominick · Nov 12Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Diego BrandaoMetricPablo Garza
2.94
Strikes / min
3.37
3.38
Strikes absorbed / min
2.70
62%
Strike defense
50%
3.21
TDs / 15 min
0.94
80%
Takedown defense
15%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
1.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.44Δ 1.11 — meaningful gap+0.67
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Diego BrandaoPablo Garza
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Diego Brandao(10 fights)Pablo Garza(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+3.5-3.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+35.0-35.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Diego Brandao
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach64.0"
Fights10
Pablo Garza
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights6