Skip to content
FIGHTDETECTIVE
← All fights/Event page
Lightweight
3 Rounds
Upcoming
Elo1489
Diego Ferreira editorial illustration
Elo1493
Billy Quarantillo editorial illustration

Diego FerreiravsBilly QuarantilloUFC Prediction

UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs. Salkilld · Saturday, August 8, 2026Las Vegas, USA

Fight begins in
Style matchupDiego Ferreira: Well-roundedvsBilly Quarantillo: Submission grappler

Well-rounded fighters can dictate where this happens. The grappler needs scrambles to find their entries.

The model's pick for this fight is locked

Diego Ferreira vs Billy Quarantillo is on the undercard. Headliner picks are free — unlock the full card with a $9 monthly Fight Detective membership.

Unlock every pick — $9/month

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Billy Quarantillo is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Diego Ferreira has lost 57% of fights by KO.
  • Diego Ferreira has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • Diego Ferreira has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Diego Ferreira
Red Corner
VS
Billy Quarantillo
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
1489
Elo
1493
41
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'10"
187.96 cm
Reach
177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Diego FerreiraL2 streak
oldest →
L
KOvs Mateusz Gamrot · Dec 21
W
KOvs Michael Johnson · May 23
W
KOvs Mateusz Rebecki · May 24
L
vs Grant Dawson · Jan 25
L
KOvs Alexander Hernandez · Sep 25
latest
Billy QuarantilloL2 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Alexander Hernandez · Dec 22
L
KOvs Edson Barboza · Apr 23
W
vs Damon Jackson · Aug 23
L
SUBvs Youssef Zalal · Mar 24
L
KOvs Cub Swanson · Dec 24
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Diego FerreiraMetricBilly Quarantillo
4.70
Strikes / min
7.44
3.46
Strikes absorbed / min
5.83
55%
Strike defense
42%
0.82
TDs / 15 min
1.47
57%
Takedown defense
61%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
1.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.24evenly matched on net striking+1.61
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14701483149515081520← oldermost recent →
Diego Ferreira(10 fights)Billy Quarantillo(10 fights)

Method Projection

Matchup projection based on both fighters' finish patterns and vulnerabilities. These three projected methods total 100%. Most likely: KO / TKO.

KO / TKO78%

Historical win share: Billy Quarantillo earned 50% of wins by KO/TKO.

Submission22%

Historical win share: Diego Ferreira earned 20% of wins by submission.

Decision0%

Both fighters frequently end fights early.

Diego Ferreira

StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights17

Billy Quarantillo

StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights11