Lightweight
3 Rounds
Gregor Gillespie won · KO/TKO
UFC Event·Saturday, May 8, 2021·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupDiego Ferreira: Well-roundedvsGregor Gillespie: Wrestler
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Gregor Gillespie wins(58.4%)
Actual result: Gregor Gillespie wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Gregor Gillespie is a KO finisher (57% of wins). Diego Ferreira has lost 57% of fights by KO.
- Gregor Gillespie has 43pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Diego Ferreira
Red Corner
VS
Gregor Gillespie
Blue Corner
+122
(45%)
Vegas Odds
-142
(59%)
41
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'7"
187.96 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Diego FerreiraL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Mateusz Gamrot · Dec 21W
KOvs Michael Johnson · May 23W
KOvs Mateusz Rebecki · May 24L
vs Grant Dawson · Jan 25L
KOvs Alexander Hernandez · Sep 25Gregor Gillespie
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Jason Gonzalez · Sep 17W
KOvs Jordan Rinaldi · Jan 18W
SUBvs Vinc Pichel · Jun 18W
KOvs Yancy Medeiros · Jan 19L
KOvs Kevin Lee · Nov 19Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Diego FerreiraMetricGregor Gillespie
4.70
Strikes / min
3.74
3.46
Strikes absorbed / min
2.30
55%
Strike defense
57%
0.82
TDs / 15 min
6.86
57%
Takedown defense
100%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.24evenly matched on net striking+1.44
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Diego FerreiraGregor Gillespie
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Diego Ferreira(10 fights)Gregor Gillespie(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+13.5-13.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-462.0462.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Diego Ferreira
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights17
Gregor Gillespie
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights8