Lightweight
3 Rounds
Diego Ferreira won · KO/TKO R3
UFC Event·Saturday, May 11, 2024·St. Louis, Missouri, USA, USA
Style matchupDiego Ferreira: Well-roundedvsMateusz Rebecki: Wrestler
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Mateusz Rebecki wins(64.2%)
Actual result: Diego Ferreira wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Mateusz Rebecki (53.5%).
- Diego Ferreira has a 20cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Diego Ferreira
Red Corner
VS
Mateusz Rebecki
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
41
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'9"
Height
5'7"
187.96 cm
Reach
167.64 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Diego FerreiraL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Gregor Gillespie · May 21L
KOvs Mateusz Gamrot · Dec 21W
KOvs Michael Johnson · May 23L
vs Grant Dawson · Jan 25L
KOvs Alexander Hernandez · Sep 25Mateusz RebeckiL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Loik Radzhabov · Jun 23W
SUBvs Roosevelt Roberts · Nov 23W
vs Myktybek Orolbai · Oct 24L
vs Chris Duncan · Aug 25L
vs Ludovit Klein · Oct 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Diego FerreiraMetricMateusz Rebecki
4.70
Strikes / min
4.79
3.46
Strikes absorbed / min
4.36
55%
Strike defense
54%
0.82
TDs / 15 min
3.05
57%
Takedown defense
53%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.24evenly matched on net striking+0.43
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Diego FerreiraMateusz Rebecki
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Diego Ferreira(10 fights)Mateusz Rebecki(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+19.4-19.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+175.0-175.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
Diego Ferreira
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights17
Mateusz Rebecki
StanceSouthpaw
Height67.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights7