Featherweight
5 Rounds
Diego Lopes won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, September 13, 2025·San Antonio, Texas, USA, USA
Style matchupDiego Lopes: Submission grapplervsJean Silva: Pressure fighter
The pressure fighter risks getting subbed if they over-commit on the ground.
Model Prediction: Diego Lopes wins(53.3%)
Actual result: Diego Lopes wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jean Silva enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Tale of the Tape
Diego Lopes
Red Corner
VS
Jean Silva
Blue Corner
+176
(36%)
Vegas Odds
-210
(68%)
31
Age
29
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
5'7"
182.88 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Diego LopesL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Sodiq Yusuff · Apr 24W
vs Dan Ige · Jun 24W
vs Brian Ortega · Sep 24L
vs Alexander Volkanovski · Apr 25L
vs Alexander Volkanovski · Jan 26Jean SilvaW5 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Charles Jourdain · Jun 24W
KOvs Drew Dober · Jul 24W
KOvs Melsik Baghdasaryan · Feb 25W
SUBvs Bryce Mitchell · Apr 25W
vs Arnold Allen · Jan 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Diego LopesMetricJean Silva
3.83
Strikes / min
4.82
4.56
Strikes absorbed / min
4.50
45%
Strike defense
53%
0.88
TDs / 15 min
1.20
68%
Takedown defense
78%
1.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.73Δ 1.05 — meaningful gap+0.32
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Diego LopesJean Silva
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Diego Lopes(9 fights)Jean Silva(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-19.119.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.70.7
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
Diego Lopes
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights9
Jean Silva
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights7