Welterweight
3 Rounds
Jake Ellenberger won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Wednesday, February 15, 2012·Omaha, Nebraska, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Diego Sanchez wins(59.7%)
Actual result: Jake Ellenberger wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jake Ellenberger enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Jake Ellenberger has 40pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Diego Sanchez (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Diego Sanchez
Red Corner
VS
Jake Ellenberger
Blue Corner
+320
(24%)
Vegas Odds
-355
(78%)
44
Age
41
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'9"
182.88 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Diego Sanchez
oldest →latest
W
vs Craig White · Sep 18W
KOvs Mickey Gall · Mar 19L
vs Michael Chiesa · Jul 19W
vs Michel Pereira · Feb 20L
vs Jake Matthews · Sep 20Jake EllenbergerL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Matt Brown · Jul 16L
KOvs Jorge Masvidal · Dec 16L
KOvs Mike Perry · Apr 17L
KOvs Ben Saunders · Jun 18L
KOvs Bryan Barberena · Aug 18Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Diego SanchezMetricJake Ellenberger
2.69
Strikes / min
2.47
3.02
Strikes absorbed / min
2.83
56%
Strike defense
60%
1.51
TDs / 15 min
2.04
46%
Takedown defense
86%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.33evenly matched on net striking-0.36
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Diego SanchezJake Ellenberger
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Diego Sanchez(10 fights)Jake Ellenberger(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-52.752.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+198.0-198.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Diego Sanchez
StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights19
Jake Ellenberger
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights19