Welterweight
3 Rounds
Jake Matthews won · U-DEC
UFC Event·Saturday, September 26, 2020·Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, United Arab Emirates
Model Prediction: Jake Matthews wins(64.8%)
Actual result: Jake Matthews wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jake Matthews has 18pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Diego Sanchez (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Diego Sanchez
Red Corner
VS
Jake Matthews
Blue Corner
+470
(18%)
Vegas Odds
-715
(88%)
44
Age
31
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'11"
182.88 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Diego Sanchez
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Matt Brown · Nov 17W
vs Craig White · Sep 18W
KOvs Mickey Gall · Mar 19L
vs Michael Chiesa · Jul 19W
vs Michel Pereira · Feb 20Jake Matthews
oldest →latest
L
vs Michael Morales · Nov 23W
vs Phil Rowe · Jun 24W
vs Francisco Prado · Feb 25W
SUBvs Chidi Njokuani · Jul 25L
SUBvs Neil Magny · Sep 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Diego SanchezMetricJake Matthews
2.69
Strikes / min
3.34
3.02
Strikes absorbed / min
2.62
56%
Strike defense
60%
1.51
TDs / 15 min
1.44
46%
Takedown defense
64%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.33Δ 1.05 — meaningful gap+0.72
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Diego SanchezJake Matthews
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Diego Sanchez(10 fights)Jake Matthews(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-54.154.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+7.0-7.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Diego Sanchez
StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights19
Jake Matthews
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights23