Welterweight
3 Rounds
Michael Chiesa won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, July 6, 2019·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Diego Sanchez wins(55.6%)
Actual result: Michael Chiesa wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Michael Chiesa enters on a 4-fight win streak.
- Michael Chiesa has 19pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Diego Sanchez
Red Corner
VS
Michael Chiesa
Blue Corner
+315
(24%)
Vegas Odds
-380
(79%)
44
Age
38
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
5'10"
Height
6'1"
182.88 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Diego Sanchez
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Matt Brown · Nov 17W
vs Craig White · Sep 18W
KOvs Mickey Gall · Mar 19W
vs Michel Pereira · Feb 20L
vs Jake Matthews · Sep 20Michael ChiesaW4 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Kevin Holland · Jul 23W
SUBvs Tony Ferguson · Aug 24W
SUBvs Max Griffin · Dec 24W
vs Court McGee · Jun 25W
SUBvs Niko Price · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Diego SanchezMetricMichael Chiesa
2.69
Strikes / min
2.02
3.02
Strikes absorbed / min
1.73
56%
Strike defense
57%
1.51
TDs / 15 min
3.11
46%
Takedown defense
65%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
1.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.33evenly matched on net striking+0.29
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Diego SanchezMichael Chiesa
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Diego Sanchez(10 fights)Michael Chiesa(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-43.343.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-63.063.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.3-1.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
Diego Sanchez
StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights19
Michael Chiesa
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights22