Welterweight
3 Rounds
Diego Sanchez won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, October 23, 2010·Anaheim, California, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Diego Sanchez wins(55.1%)
Actual result: Diego Sanchez wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Paulo Thiago enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Paulo Thiago has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Diego Sanchez (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Diego Sanchez
Red Corner
VS
Paulo Thiago
Blue Corner
+130
(43%)
Vegas Odds
-140
(58%)
44
Age
45
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'11"
182.88 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Diego Sanchez
oldest →latest
W
vs Craig White · Sep 18W
KOvs Mickey Gall · Mar 19L
vs Michael Chiesa · Jul 19W
vs Michel Pereira · Feb 20L
vs Jake Matthews · Sep 20Paulo ThiagoL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Dong Hyun Kim · Nov 12W
vs Michel Prazeres · May 13L
KOvs Brandon Thatch · Nov 13L
vs Gasan Umalatov · May 14L
vs Sean Spencer · Sep 14Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Diego SanchezMetricPaulo Thiago
2.69
Strikes / min
1.71
3.02
Strikes absorbed / min
1.99
56%
Strike defense
63%
1.51
TDs / 15 min
1.42
46%
Takedown defense
63%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
1.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.33evenly matched on net striking-0.28
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Diego SanchezPaulo Thiago
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Diego Sanchez(10 fights)Paulo Thiago(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+14.0-14.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.2-1.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Diego Sanchez
StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights19
Paulo Thiago
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights9