Women's Flyweight
3 Rounds
Dione Barbosa won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, May 4, 2024·Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, Brazil
Style matchupDione Barbosa: WrestlervsErnesta Kareckaite: Pressure fighter
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Dione Barbosa wins(57.8%)
Actual result: Dione Barbosa wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Dione Barbosa has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Ernesta Kareckaite has 18pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Ernesta Kareckaite has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Dione Barbosa
Red Corner
VS
Ernesta Kareckaite
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
34
Age
27
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'9"
167.64 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Dione Barbosa
oldest →latest
L
vs Miranda Maverick · Jul 24W
SUBvs Diana Belbita · Apr 25L
vs Karine Silva · Aug 25Ernesta Kareckaite
oldest →latest
W
vs Nicolle Caliari · Jan 25L
vs Regina Tarin · Feb 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Dione BarbosaMetricErnesta Kareckaite
2.21
Strikes / min
7.28
2.40
Strikes absorbed / min
6.47
64%
Strike defense
49%
2.40
TDs / 15 min
0.75
63%
Takedown defense
81%
1.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.19Δ 1.00 — meaningful gap+0.81
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Dione BarbosaErnesta Kareckaite
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Dione Barbosa(4 fights)Ernesta Kareckaite(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Dione Barbosa
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights5
Ernesta Kareckaite
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights3