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Elo1497
Diyar Nurgozhay editorial illustration
Elo1470
Bruno Lopes editorial illustration

Diyar NurgozhayvsBruno LopesUFC Prediction

UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs. Salkilld · Saturday, August 8, 2026Las Vegas, USA

Fight begins in
Style matchupDiyar Nurgozhay: Elusive strikervsBruno Lopes: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has more dimensions. The elusive striker needs to win the striking exchanges clearly.

The model's pick for this fight is locked

Diyar Nurgozhay vs Bruno Lopes is on the undercard. Headliner picks are free — unlock the full card with a $9 monthly Fight Detective membership.

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Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Bruno Lopes has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Diyar Nurgozhay
Red Corner
VS
Bruno Lopes
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
1497
Elo
1470
29
Age
33
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
6'2"
187.96 cm
Reach
187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Diyar Nurgozhay
oldest →
L
SUBvs Brendson Ribeiro · Mar 25
L
SUBvs Uran Satybaldiev · Aug 25
W
vs Rafael Tobias · Mar 26
latest
Bruno LopesL2 streak
oldest →
W
vs Magomed Gadzhiyasulov · Jan 25
L
KOvs Dustin Jacoby · May 25
L
KOvs Navajo Stirling · Mar 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Diyar NurgozhayMetricBruno Lopes
4.52
Strikes / min
2.88
2.81
Strikes absorbed / min
4.21
61%
Strike defense
54%
1.37
TDs / 15 min
1.93
80%
Takedown defense
100%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.71Δ 3.04 — meaningful gap-1.33
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14601475149015051520← oldermost recent →
Diyar Nurgozhay(3 fights)Bruno Lopes(3 fights)

Method Projection

Matchup projection based on both fighters' finish patterns and vulnerabilities. These three projected methods total 100%. Most likely: Submission.

KO / TKO50%

Neither fighter relies on finishes — likely a decision.

Submission50%

Limited submission threat from either side.

Decision0%

Both fighters frequently end fights early.

Diyar Nurgozhay

StanceSouthpaw
Height74.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights3

Bruno Lopes

StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights3