Middleweight
3 Rounds
Ozzy Diaz won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, March 8, 2025·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupDjorden Santos: Pressure fightervsOzzy Diaz: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Djorden Santos wins(52.0%)
Actual result: Ozzy Diaz wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Ozzy Diaz has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Djorden Santos has 35pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Ozzy Diaz has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Djorden Santos
Red Corner
VS
Ozzy Diaz
Blue Corner
-250
(71%)
Vegas Odds
—
28
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
6'4"
190.5 cm
Reach
200.66 cm
Recent Form
Last 1 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Djorden Santos
oldest →latest
W
vs Danny Barlow · Oct 25Ozzy Diaz
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Zhang Mingyang · Nov 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Djorden SantosMetricOzzy Diaz
6.64
Strikes / min
5.33
6.35
Strikes absorbed / min
6.52
48%
Strike defense
61%
0.51
TDs / 15 min
0.00
85%
Takedown defense
50%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.29Δ 1.48 — meaningful gap-1.19
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Djorden SantosOzzy Diaz
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Djorden Santos(2 fights)Ozzy Diaz(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+15.3-15.3
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+49.7-49.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+50.0-50.0
Djorden Santos
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights2
Ozzy Diaz
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights2