Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Journey Newson won · Overturned R1
UFC Event·Saturday, February 8, 2020·Houston, Texas, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Domingo Pilarte wins(69.0%)
Actual result: Journey Newson wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Journey Newson has 24pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Domingo Pilarte (53.5%).
- Domingo Pilarte has a 15cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Domingo Pilarte
Red Corner
VS
Journey Newson
Blue Corner
-125
(56%)
Vegas Odds
+105
(49%)
36
Age
37
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
5'5"
185.42 cm
Reach
170.18 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Domingo PilarteL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Felipe Colares · Jul 19L
vs Brian Kelleher · Aug 21Journey NewsonL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Ricardo Ramos · Jun 19L
KOvs Randy Costa · Sep 20W
vs Fernie Garcia · May 22L
vs Sergey Morozov · Dec 22L
SUBvs Marcus McGhee · Apr 23Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Domingo PilarteMetricJourney Newson
1.31
Strikes / min
2.64
2.96
Strikes absorbed / min
2.57
40%
Strike defense
64%
1.20
TDs / 15 min
0.56
54%
Takedown defense
43%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.65Δ 1.72 — meaningful gap+0.07
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Domingo PilarteJourney Newson
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Domingo Pilarte(3 fights)Journey Newson(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-2.12.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-21.021.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
Domingo Pilarte
StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights3
Journey Newson
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights6