Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Dominick Cruz won · S-DEC
UFC Event·Saturday, March 6, 2021·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupDominick Cruz: WrestlervsCasey Kenney: Pressure fighter
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Dominick Cruz wins(57.5%)
Actual result: Dominick Cruz wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Dominick Cruz has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Dominick Cruz has 22pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Casey Kenney (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Dominick Cruz
Red Corner
VS
Casey Kenney
Blue Corner
+120
(45%)
Vegas Odds
-140
(58%)
41
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'8"
Height
5'7"
172.72 cm
Reach
172.72 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Dominick Cruz
oldest →latest
W
vs Urijah Faber · Jun 16L
vs Cody Garbrandt · Dec 16L
KOvs Henry Cejudo · May 20W
vs Pedro Munhoz · Dec 21L
KOvs Marlon Vera · Aug 22Casey Kenney
oldest →latest
L
vs Merab Dvalishvili · Feb 20W
SUBvs Louis Smolka · May 20W
vs Heili Alateng · Oct 20W
vs Nathaniel Wood · Oct 20L
vs Song Yadong · Aug 21Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Dominick CruzMetricCasey Kenney
3.91
Strikes / min
4.85
2.61
Strikes absorbed / min
4.67
70%
Strike defense
58%
2.82
TDs / 15 min
1.09
83%
Takedown defense
61%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.30Δ 1.12 — meaningful gap+0.18
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Dominick CruzCasey Kenney
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Dominick Cruz(10 fights)Casey Kenney(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-8.88.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+168.0-168.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.61.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+3.0-3.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Dominick Cruz
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights10
Casey Kenney
StanceSouthpaw
Height67.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights8