Bantamweight
5 Rounds
🏆 Title Bout
Cody Garbrandt won · U-DEC R5
UFC Event·Friday, December 30, 2016·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupDominick Cruz: WrestlervsCody Garbrandt: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Dominick Cruz wins(63.0%)
Actual result: Cody Garbrandt wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Cody Garbrandt is a KO finisher (60% of wins). Dominick Cruz has lost 67% of fights by KO.
- Dominick Cruz has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Tale of the Tape
Dominick Cruz
Red Corner
VS
Cody Garbrandt
Blue Corner
-245
(71%)
Vegas Odds
+205
(33%)
41
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'8"
172.72 cm
Reach
165.1 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Dominick Cruz
oldest →latest
W
vs Urijah Faber · Jun 16L
KOvs Henry Cejudo · May 20W
vs Casey Kenney · Mar 21W
vs Pedro Munhoz · Dec 21L
KOvs Marlon Vera · Aug 22Cody Garbrandt
oldest →latest
W
vs Trevin Jones · Mar 23W
KOvs Brian Kelleher · Dec 23L
SUBvs Deiveson Figueiredo · Apr 24L
vs Raoni Barcelos · Jun 25W
vs Xiao Long · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Dominick CruzMetricCody Garbrandt
3.91
Strikes / min
2.79
2.61
Strikes absorbed / min
3.66
70%
Strike defense
58%
2.82
TDs / 15 min
0.85
83%
Takedown defense
81%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.30Δ 2.17 — meaningful gap-0.87
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Dominick CruzCody Garbrandt
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Dominick Cruz(10 fights)Cody Garbrandt(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+6.2-6.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+77.0-77.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.4-1.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
Dominick Cruz
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights10
Cody Garbrandt
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights17