Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Dominick Cruz won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, September 27, 2014·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupDominick Cruz: WrestlervsTakeya Mizugaki: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Dominick Cruz wins(57.9%)
Actual result: Dominick Cruz wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Dominick Cruz has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Tale of the Tape
Dominick Cruz
Red Corner
VS
Takeya Mizugaki
Blue Corner
-560
(85%)
Vegas Odds
+475
(17%)
41
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'7"
172.72 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Dominick Cruz
oldest →latest
L
vs Cody Garbrandt · Dec 16L
KOvs Henry Cejudo · May 20W
vs Casey Kenney · Mar 21W
vs Pedro Munhoz · Dec 21L
KOvs Marlon Vera · Aug 22Takeya MizugakiL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Francisco Rivera · May 14L
SUBvs Aljamain Sterling · Apr 15W
vs George Roop · Sep 15L
KOvs Cody Garbrandt · Aug 16L
KOvs Eddie Wineland · Dec 16Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Dominick CruzMetricTakeya Mizugaki
3.91
Strikes / min
3.37
2.61
Strikes absorbed / min
3.27
70%
Strike defense
57%
2.82
TDs / 15 min
1.46
83%
Takedown defense
70%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.30Δ 1.20 — meaningful gap+0.10
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Dominick CruzTakeya Mizugaki
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Dominick Cruz(10 fights)Takeya Mizugaki(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-42.542.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+966.0-966.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Dominick Cruz
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights10
Takeya Mizugaki
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights14