Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Dominick Reyes won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, December 7, 2024·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Dominick Reyes wins(68.3%)
Actual result: Dominick Reyes wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Dominick Reyes is a KO finisher (63% of wins). Anthony Smith has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Dominick Reyes has 32pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Dominick Reyes (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Dominick Reyes
Red Corner
VS
Anthony Smith
Blue Corner
-380
(79%)
Vegas Odds
+300
(25%)
36
Age
37
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'4"
Height
6'4"
195.58 cm
Reach
193.04 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Dominick Reyes
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Jiri Prochazka · May 21L
KOvs Ryan Spann · Nov 22W
KOvs Dustin Jacoby · Jun 24W
KOvs Nikita Krylov · Apr 25L
KOvs Carlos Ulberg · Sep 25Anthony SmithL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Ryan Spann · Aug 23L
KOvs Khalil Rountree Jr. · Dec 23W
SUBvs Vitor Petrino · May 24L
vs Roman Dolidze · Jun 24L
KOvs Zhang Mingyang · Apr 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Dominick ReyesMetricAnthony Smith
4.99
Strikes / min
3.19
3.40
Strikes absorbed / min
5.04
49%
Strike defense
44%
0.25
TDs / 15 min
0.44
82%
Takedown defense
50%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.59Δ 3.44 — meaningful gap-1.85
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Dominick ReyesAnthony Smith
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Dominick Reyes(10 fights)Anthony Smith(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-14.714.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+21.0-21.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.7-0.7
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
Dominick Reyes
StanceSouthpaw
Height76.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights13
Anthony Smith
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights25