Light Heavyweight
5 Rounds
Dominick Reyes won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Friday, October 18, 2019·Boston, Massachusetts, USA, USA
Style matchupDominick Reyes: StrikervsChris Weidman: Wrestler
Classic striker-vs-wrestler. The wrestler historically gets the edge if they can close distance and finish takedowns.
Model Prediction: Dominick Reyes wins(62.8%)
Actual result: Dominick Reyes wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Dominick Reyes is a KO finisher (63% of wins). Chris Weidman has lost 88% of fights by KO.
- Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
- Stance matchup historically favors Dominick Reyes (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Dominick Reyes
Red Corner
VS
Chris Weidman
Blue Corner
-200
(67%)
Vegas Odds
+170
(37%)
36
Age
41
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'4"
Height
6'2"
195.58 cm
Reach
198.12 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Dominick Reyes
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Ryan Spann · Nov 22W
KOvs Dustin Jacoby · Jun 24W
KOvs Anthony Smith · Dec 24W
KOvs Nikita Krylov · Apr 25L
KOvs Carlos Ulberg · Sep 25Chris Weidman
oldest →latest
W
vs Omari Akhmedov · Aug 20L
KOvs Uriah Hall · Apr 21L
vs Brad Tavares · Aug 23W
vs Bruno Silva · Mar 24L
KOvs Eryk Anders · Dec 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Dominick ReyesMetricChris Weidman
4.99
Strikes / min
3.11
3.40
Strikes absorbed / min
3.37
49%
Strike defense
51%
0.25
TDs / 15 min
3.27
82%
Takedown defense
72%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.59Δ 1.85 — meaningful gap-0.26
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Dominick ReyesChris Weidman
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Dominick Reyes(10 fights)Chris Weidman(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-27.727.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-133.0133.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.6-1.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Dominick Reyes
StanceSouthpaw
Height76.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights13
Chris Weidman
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights20