Light Heavyweight
5 Rounds
🏆 Title Bout
Jan Blachowicz won · KO/TKO
UFC Event·Saturday, September 26, 2020·Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, United Arab Emirates
Style matchupDominick Reyes: StrikervsJan Blachowicz: Well-rounded
The well-rounded fighter has more paths to victory. The striker needs to be sharp early.
Model Prediction: Dominick Reyes wins(56.2%)
Actual result: Jan Blachowicz wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Dominick Reyes (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Dominick Reyes
Red Corner
VS
Jan Blachowicz
Blue Corner
-265
(73%)
Vegas Odds
+215
(32%)
36
Age
43
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'4"
Height
6'2"
195.58 cm
Reach
198.12 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Dominick Reyes
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Ryan Spann · Nov 22W
KOvs Dustin Jacoby · Jun 24W
KOvs Anthony Smith · Dec 24W
KOvs Nikita Krylov · Apr 25L
KOvs Carlos Ulberg · Sep 25Jan Blachowicz
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Glover Teixeira · Oct 21W
KOvs Aleksandar Rakic · May 22L
vs Alex Pereira · Jul 23L
vs Carlos Ulberg · Mar 25D
vs Bogdan Guskov · Dec 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Dominick ReyesMetricJan Blachowicz
4.99
Strikes / min
3.55
3.40
Strikes absorbed / min
3.14
49%
Strike defense
52%
0.25
TDs / 15 min
0.98
82%
Takedown defense
69%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.59Δ 1.18 — meaningful gap+0.41
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Dominick ReyesJan Blachowicz
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Dominick Reyes(10 fights)Jan Blachowicz(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-11.511.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+7.0-7.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.70.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
Dominick Reyes
StanceSouthpaw
Height76.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights13
Jan Blachowicz
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights21