Welterweight
3 Rounds
Alex Morono won · KO/TKO
UFC Event·Saturday, May 8, 2021·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupDonald Cerrone: Submission grapplervsAlex Morono: Pressure fighter
The pressure fighter risks getting subbed if they over-commit on the ground.
Model Prediction: Alex Morono wins(58.9%)
Actual result: Alex Morono wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Donald Cerrone enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Alex Morono enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Donald Cerrone has 26pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Donald Cerrone
Red Corner
VS
Alex Morono
Blue Corner
-150
(60%)
Vegas Odds
+130
(43%)
43
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
5'11"
185.42 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Donald CerroneL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Tony Ferguson · Jun 19L
KOvs Justin Gaethje · Sep 19L
KOvs Conor McGregor · Jan 20L
vs Anthony Pettis · May 20L
SUBvs Jim Miller · Jul 22Alex MoronoL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Court McGee · Apr 24L
vs Niko Price · Jun 24L
vs Daniel Rodriguez · Oct 24L
KOvs Carlos Leal · Mar 25L
vs Daniil Donchenko · Feb 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Donald CerroneMetricAlex Morono
4.41
Strikes / min
4.90
4.48
Strikes absorbed / min
4.88
53%
Strike defense
55%
1.16
TDs / 15 min
0.32
73%
Takedown defense
47%
1.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.07evenly matched on net striking+0.02
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Donald CerroneAlex Morono
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Donald Cerrone(10 fights)Alex Morono(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+51.0-51.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+224.0-224.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.70.7
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.7-0.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Donald Cerrone
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights37
Alex Morono
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights23