Welterweight
5 Rounds
Darren Till won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, October 21, 2017·Gdansk, Poland, Poland
Model Prediction: Darren Till wins(59.2%)
Actual result: Darren Till wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Donald Cerrone enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Darren Till enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Darren Till (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Donald Cerrone
Red Corner
VS
Darren Till
Blue Corner
-150
(60%)
Vegas Odds
+130
(43%)
43
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'1"
Height
6'0"
185.42 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Donald CerroneL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Justin Gaethje · Sep 19L
KOvs Conor McGregor · Jan 20L
vs Anthony Pettis · May 20L
KOvs Alex Morono · May 21L
SUBvs Jim Miller · Jul 22Darren TillL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Jorge Masvidal · Mar 19W
vs Kelvin Gastelum · Nov 19L
vs Robert Whittaker · Jul 20L
SUBvs Derek Brunson · Sep 21L
SUBvs Dricus Du Plessis · Dec 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Donald CerroneMetricDarren Till
4.41
Strikes / min
2.30
4.48
Strikes absorbed / min
3.31
53%
Strike defense
56%
1.16
TDs / 15 min
0.55
73%
Takedown defense
69%
1.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.07evenly matched on net striking-1.01
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Donald CerroneDarren Till
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Donald Cerrone(10 fights)Darren Till(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+108.9-108.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+35.0-35.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.11.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.2-1.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Donald Cerrone
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights37
Darren Till
StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights11