Lightweight
5 Rounds
Donald Cerrone won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Wednesday, July 16, 2014·Atlantic City, New Jersey, USA, USA
Style matchupDonald Cerrone: Submission grapplervsJim Miller: Submission grappler
Submission battle — patience and grip-fighting decide it on the mat.
Model Prediction: Donald Cerrone wins(61.4%)
Actual result: Donald Cerrone wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Donald Cerrone enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Donald Cerrone has 26pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Jim Miller (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Donald Cerrone
Red Corner
VS
Jim Miller
Blue Corner
-240
(71%)
Vegas Odds
+220
(31%)
43
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'1"
Height
5'8"
185.42 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Donald CerroneL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Justin Gaethje · Sep 19L
KOvs Conor McGregor · Jan 20L
vs Anthony Pettis · May 20L
KOvs Alex Morono · May 21L
SUBvs Jim Miller · Jul 22Jim Miller
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Jesse Butler · Jun 23W
SUBvs Gabriel Benitez · Jan 24L
vs King Green · Apr 24W
SUBvs Damon Jackson · Nov 24L
vs Chase Hooper · Apr 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Donald CerroneMetricJim Miller
4.41
Strikes / min
2.92
4.48
Strikes absorbed / min
3.43
53%
Strike defense
56%
1.16
TDs / 15 min
1.49
73%
Takedown defense
47%
1.20
Sub atts / 15 min
1.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.07evenly matched on net striking-0.51
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Donald CerroneJim Miller
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Donald Cerrone(10 fights)Jim Miller(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+16.4-16.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+7.0-7.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.1-1.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
Donald Cerrone
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights37
Jim Miller
StanceSouthpaw
Height68.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights39