Welterweight
5 Rounds
Leon Edwards won · U-DEC R5
UFC Event·Saturday, June 23, 2018·Kallang, Singapore, Singapore
Style matchupDonald Cerrone: Submission grapplervsLeon Edwards: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters can dictate where this happens. The grappler needs scrambles to find their entries.
Model Prediction: Leon Edwards wins(65.0%)
Actual result: Leon Edwards wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Donald Cerrone enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Leon Edwards enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Leon Edwards (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Donald Cerrone
Red Corner
VS
Leon Edwards
Blue Corner
+215
(32%)
Vegas Odds
-255
(72%)
43
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'1"
Height
6'2"
185.42 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Donald CerroneL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Justin Gaethje · Sep 19L
KOvs Conor McGregor · Jan 20L
vs Anthony Pettis · May 20L
KOvs Alex Morono · May 21L
SUBvs Jim Miller · Jul 22Leon EdwardsL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Kamaru Usman · Mar 23W
vs Colby Covington · Dec 23L
vs Belal Muhammad · Jul 24L
SUBvs Sean Brady · Mar 25L
KOvs Carlos Prates · Nov 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Donald CerroneMetricLeon Edwards
4.41
Strikes / min
2.60
4.48
Strikes absorbed / min
2.44
53%
Strike defense
52%
1.16
TDs / 15 min
1.25
73%
Takedown defense
63%
1.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.07evenly matched on net striking+0.16
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Donald CerroneLeon Edwards
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Donald Cerrone(10 fights)Leon Edwards(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+61.4-61.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+27.0-27.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.11.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.2-1.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Donald Cerrone
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights37
Leon Edwards
StanceSouthpaw
Height74.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights19