Welterweight
3 Rounds
Donald Cerrone won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, November 10, 2018·Denver, Colorado, USA, USA
Style matchupDonald Cerrone: Submission grapplervsMike Perry: Pressure fighter
The pressure fighter risks getting subbed if they over-commit on the ground.
Model Prediction: Mike Perry wins(64.5%)
Actual result: Donald Cerrone wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Donald Cerrone enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Mike Perry is a KO finisher (57% of wins). Donald Cerrone has lost 57% of fights by KO.
Tale of the Tape
Donald Cerrone
Red Corner
VS
Mike Perry
Blue Corner
+170
(37%)
Vegas Odds
-200
(67%)
43
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
5'10"
185.42 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Donald CerroneL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Justin Gaethje · Sep 19L
KOvs Conor McGregor · Jan 20L
vs Anthony Pettis · May 20L
KOvs Alex Morono · May 21L
SUBvs Jim Miller · Jul 22Mike PerryL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Vincente Luque · Aug 19L
KOvs Geoff Neal · Dec 19W
vs Mickey Gall · Jun 20L
vs Tim Means · Nov 20L
vs Daniel Rodriguez · Apr 21Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Donald CerroneMetricMike Perry
4.41
Strikes / min
4.32
4.48
Strikes absorbed / min
5.16
53%
Strike defense
52%
1.16
TDs / 15 min
0.81
73%
Takedown defense
78%
1.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.07evenly matched on net striking-0.84
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Donald CerroneMike Perry
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Donald Cerrone(10 fights)Mike Perry(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+91.1-91.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+14.0-14.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Donald Cerrone
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights37
Mike Perry
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights15