Lightweight
3 Rounds
Donald Cerrone won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, January 3, 2015·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupDonald Cerrone: Submission grapplervsMyles Jury: Wrestler
Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.
Model Prediction: Myles Jury wins(51.1%)
Actual result: Donald Cerrone wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Donald Cerrone enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Myles Jury has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Donald Cerrone has 23pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Donald Cerrone
Red Corner
VS
Myles Jury
Blue Corner
-125
(56%)
Vegas Odds
+115
(47%)
43
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
5'10"
185.42 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Donald CerroneL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Justin Gaethje · Sep 19L
KOvs Conor McGregor · Jan 20L
vs Anthony Pettis · May 20L
KOvs Alex Morono · May 21L
SUBvs Jim Miller · Jul 22Myles JuryL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Charles Oliveira · Dec 15W
KOvs Mike de la Torre · Apr 17W
vs Rick Glenn · Dec 17L
KOvs Chad Mendes · Jul 18L
vs Andre Fili · Feb 19Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Donald CerroneMetricMyles Jury
4.41
Strikes / min
2.94
4.48
Strikes absorbed / min
2.16
53%
Strike defense
66%
1.16
TDs / 15 min
2.16
73%
Takedown defense
50%
1.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.07evenly matched on net striking+0.78
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Donald CerroneMyles Jury
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Donald Cerrone(10 fights)Myles Jury(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+38.5-38.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-7.07.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.5-1.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Donald Cerrone
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights37
Myles Jury
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights12