Welterweight
3 Rounds
Donald Cerrone won · KO/TKO R3
UFC Event·Saturday, June 18, 2016·Ottawa, Ontario, Canada, Canada
Model Prediction: Patrick Cote wins(60.7%)
Actual result: Donald Cerrone wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Donald Cerrone enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Donald Cerrone has 30pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Donald Cerrone
Red Corner
VS
Patrick Cote
Blue Corner
-170
(63%)
Vegas Odds
+150
(40%)
43
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
5'11"
185.42 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Donald CerroneL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Justin Gaethje · Sep 19L
KOvs Conor McGregor · Jan 20L
vs Anthony Pettis · May 20L
KOvs Alex Morono · May 21L
SUBvs Jim Miller · Jul 22Patrick Cote
oldest →latest
L
vs Stephen Thompson · Sep 14W
vs Joe Riggs · Apr 15W
KOvs Joshua Burkman · Aug 15W
KOvs Ben Saunders · Jan 16L
vs Thiago Alves · Apr 17Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Donald CerroneMetricPatrick Cote
4.41
Strikes / min
2.81
4.48
Strikes absorbed / min
3.21
53%
Strike defense
48%
1.16
TDs / 15 min
0.68
73%
Takedown defense
43%
1.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.07evenly matched on net striking-0.40
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Donald CerronePatrick Cote
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Donald Cerrone(10 fights)Patrick Cote(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+130.9-130.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-35.035.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.2-1.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Donald Cerrone
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights37
Patrick Cote
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights12