Welterweight
5 Rounds
Donald Cerrone won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Sunday, February 18, 2018·Austin, Texas, USA, USA
Style matchupDonald Cerrone: Submission grapplervsYancy Medeiros: Pressure fighter
The pressure fighter risks getting subbed if they over-commit on the ground.
Model Prediction: Donald Cerrone wins(66.1%)
Actual result: Donald Cerrone wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Donald Cerrone enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Yancy Medeiros enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Tale of the Tape
Donald Cerrone
Red Corner
VS
Yancy Medeiros
Blue Corner
+100
(50%)
Vegas Odds
-120
(55%)
43
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
5'10"
185.42 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Donald CerroneL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Justin Gaethje · Sep 19L
KOvs Conor McGregor · Jan 20L
vs Anthony Pettis · May 20L
KOvs Alex Morono · May 21L
SUBvs Jim Miller · Jul 22Yancy MedeirosL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Erick Silva · Jun 17W
KOvs Alex Oliveira · Dec 17L
KOvs Gregor Gillespie · Jan 19L
vs Lando Vannata · Feb 20L
vs Damir Hadzovic · Jun 21Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Donald CerroneMetricYancy Medeiros
4.41
Strikes / min
4.36
4.48
Strikes absorbed / min
5.67
53%
Strike defense
47%
1.16
TDs / 15 min
0.33
73%
Takedown defense
73%
1.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.07Δ 1.24 — meaningful gap-1.31
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Donald CerroneYancy Medeiros
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Donald Cerrone(10 fights)Yancy Medeiros(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+78.6-78.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+42.0-42.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.31.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.6-1.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Donald Cerrone
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights37
Yancy Medeiros
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights14