Lightweight
3 Rounds
Dong Hyun Ma won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, December 3, 2016·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Dong Hyun Ma wins(51.5%)
Actual result: Dong Hyun Ma wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Dong Hyun Ma enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Dong Hyun Ma has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Tale of the Tape
Dong Hyun Ma
Red Corner
VS
Brendan O'Reilly
Blue Corner
-150
(60%)
Vegas Odds
+130
(43%)
37
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
5'7"
177.8 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Dong Hyun MaL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Takanori Gomi · Sep 17W
vs Damien Brown · Feb 18L
KOvs Devonte Smith · Feb 19L
KOvs Scott Holtzman · Aug 19L
vs Omar Antonio Morales Ferrer · Dec 19Brendan O'Reilly
oldest →latest
L
vs Zhang Lipeng · Aug 14W
vs Vik Grujic · May 15L
KOvs Alan Jouban · Mar 16Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Dong Hyun MaMetricBrendan O'Reilly
2.84
Strikes / min
1.90
4.10
Strikes absorbed / min
2.77
54%
Strike defense
39%
1.27
TDs / 15 min
2.22
33%
Takedown defense
36%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.26evenly matched on net striking-0.87
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Dong Hyun MaBrendan O'Reilly
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Dong Hyun Ma(8 fights)Brendan O'Reilly(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-19.319.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-77.077.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Dong Hyun Ma
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights8
Brendan O'Reilly
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights4