Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Don'Tale Mayes won · KO/TKO R3
UFC Event·Saturday, December 18, 2021·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Josh Parisian wins(54.1%)
Actual result: Don'Tale Mayes wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Don'Tale Mayes enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Josh Parisian enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Tale of the Tape
Don'Tale Mayes
Red Corner
VS
Josh Parisian
Blue Corner
-165
(62%)
Vegas Odds
+145
(41%)
34
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'6"
Height
6'4"
205.74 cm
Reach
200.66 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Don'Tale MayesL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Rodrigo Nascimento · Nov 23W
vs Caio Machado · Apr 24L
vs Shamil Gaziev · Aug 24L
SUBvs Valter Walker · Feb 25L
vs Thomas Petersen · May 25Josh ParisianL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Roque Martinez · Jun 21W
KOvs Alan Baudot · Jun 22L
vs Jamal Pogues · Feb 23L
SUBvs Martin Buday · Aug 23L
KOvs Robelis Despaigne · Mar 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Don'Tale MayesMetricJosh Parisian
3.22
Strikes / min
4.55
3.61
Strikes absorbed / min
4.88
46%
Strike defense
41%
0.59
TDs / 15 min
0.98
46%
Takedown defense
46%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.39evenly matched on net striking-0.33
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Don'Tale MayesJosh Parisian
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Don'Tale Mayes(10 fights)Josh Parisian(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+217.0-217.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
Don'Tale Mayes
StanceOrthodox
Height78.0"
Reach81.0"
Fights10
Josh Parisian
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights7