Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Don'Tale Mayes won · U-DEC
UFC Event·Saturday, November 14, 2020·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Roque Martinez wins(54.8%)
Actual result: Don'Tale Mayes wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Don'Tale Mayes enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Roque Martinez has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Don'Tale Mayes has a 23cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Don'Tale Mayes
Red Corner
VS
Roque Martinez
Blue Corner
-265
(73%)
Vegas Odds
+205
(33%)
34
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'6"
Height
5'10"
205.74 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Don'Tale MayesL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Rodrigo Nascimento · Nov 23W
vs Caio Machado · Apr 24L
vs Shamil Gaziev · Aug 24L
SUBvs Valter Walker · Feb 25L
vs Thomas Petersen · May 25Roque MartinezL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Alexandr Romanov · Sep 20L
vs Josh Parisian · Jun 21Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Don'Tale MayesMetricRoque Martinez
3.22
Strikes / min
3.28
3.61
Strikes absorbed / min
4.90
46%
Strike defense
56%
0.59
TDs / 15 min
0.38
46%
Takedown defense
53%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.39Δ 1.23 — meaningful gap-1.62
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Don'Tale MayesRoque Martinez
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Don'Tale Mayes(10 fights)Roque Martinez(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+119.0-119.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Don'Tale Mayes
StanceOrthodox
Height78.0"
Reach81.0"
Fights10
Roque Martinez
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights3