Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Valter Walker won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, February 15, 2025·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Valter Walker wins(54.7%)
Actual result: Valter Walker wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Valter Walker enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Valter Walker threatens submissions; Don'Tale Mayes has lost 33% of fights by sub.
- Don'Tale Mayes has 46pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Don'Tale Mayes
Red Corner
VS
Valter Walker
Blue Corner
+265
(27%)
Vegas Odds
-330
(77%)
34
Age
28
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'6"
Height
6'6"
205.74 cm
Reach
198.12 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Don'Tale MayesL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Andrei Arlovski · Jun 23L
vs Rodrigo Nascimento · Nov 23W
vs Caio Machado · Apr 24L
vs Shamil Gaziev · Aug 24L
vs Thomas Petersen · May 25Valter WalkerW3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Lukasz Brzeski · Apr 24W
SUBvs Junior Tafa · Aug 24W
SUBvs Kennedy Nzechukwu · Jul 25W
SUBvs Louie Sutherland · Oct 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Don'Tale MayesMetricValter Walker
3.22
Strikes / min
2.00
3.61
Strikes absorbed / min
2.85
46%
Strike defense
42%
0.59
TDs / 15 min
5.74
46%
Takedown defense
0%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
2.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.39evenly matched on net striking-0.85
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Don'Tale MayesValter Walker
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Don'Tale Mayes(10 fights)Valter Walker(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+2.0-2.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+14.0-14.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.70.7
Don'Tale Mayes
StanceOrthodox
Height78.0"
Reach81.0"
Fights10
Valter Walker
StanceOrthodox
Height78.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights5